La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Baez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 93.44%1.07quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -2.72%
Kelly -70.65%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
90.30%93.20%93.63%95.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.031.021.04100.00%97.52%98.04%96.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)
Previsione 6.56%15.24quota equa
EV +31.27%
Vantaggio +1.56%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescita +0.515%
ipotizzando la quota massima 20.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.85%6.80%6.37%9.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.5013.3713.0020.0010.53%7.48%7.69%5.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +24.71%E +1.30%K +1.37%G +0.339% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.64%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 18.20I 5.49%NM 5.36%EV +19.45%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.220% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.14%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.194% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 09:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 19:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.10%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 16.59I 6.03%NM 5.90%EV +8.89%E +0.536%K +0.570%G +0.051% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -2.86%E -0.193%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.55%EV -6.56%E -6.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -4.83%E -0.333%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:05 |
| ReBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| GTbets | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.05%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.66I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV -10.34%E -0.757%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.94%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.06%EV -12.71%E -0.955%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 11:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Coral | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Bovada | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betsson | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| William Hill | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 17:34 |
| 888sport | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 16:25 |
| Neds | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| betPARX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| Caesars | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 19:34 |
| TAB | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 10:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 05:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Everygame | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -37.65%E -3.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 11:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.29% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.71% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62% | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Novig | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |