The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner

Matchstart: 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 49.31%2.03rättvist odds
EV -0.398%
Fördel -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.52%49.22%49.21%50.40%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.851.921.932.0254.05%51.99%51.81%49.50%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Jannik Sinner (Borta)

Prognos 50.69%1.97rättvist odds
EV -1.66%
Fördel -0.855%
Kelly -1.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.60%50.78%50.79%52.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.801.871.871.9455.56%53.34%53.48%51.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 11:40
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.891%E -0.443%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-12 11:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 11:59
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 12:17
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:40
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:39
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%EV -1.66%E -0.855%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 08:15
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 07:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 11:39
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 11:40
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 09:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:00
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 06:10
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:55
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 23:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:39
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 06:04
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 04:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:01
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:55
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:55
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 05:59
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 06:00
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 06:05
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:40
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:20
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 07:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 01:00
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 11:38
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-12 12:20
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-12 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-12 12:20
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-12 12:01
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-04-12 12:00