Szkoła Kursów

Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner

Początek: 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.31%2.03kurs godziwy
EV -0.398%
Przewaga -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.52%49.22%49.21%50.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.851.921.932.0254.05%51.99%51.81%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jannik Sinner (Goście)

Prognoza 50.69%1.97kurs godziwy
EV -1.66%
Przewaga -0.855%
Kelly -1.76%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.94

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
49.60%50.78%50.79%52.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.871.871.9455.56%53.34%53.48%51.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 11:40
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.891%E -0.443%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-12 11:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 11:59
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 12:17
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:40
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:39
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%EV -1.66%E -0.855%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 08:15
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 07:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 11:39
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 11:40
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 09:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:00
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 06:10
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:55
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 23:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:39
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 06:04
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 04:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:01
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:55
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:55
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 05:59
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 06:00
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 06:05
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:40
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:20
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 07:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 01:00
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 11:38
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-12 12:20
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-12 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-12 12:20
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-12 12:01
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-04-12 12:00