مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner

البداية: 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.31%2.03السعر العادل
EV -0.398%
الأفضلية -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.52%49.22%49.21%50.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.851.921.932.0254.05%51.99%51.81%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jannik Sinner (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.69%1.97السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.855%
Kelly -1.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.60%50.78%50.79%52.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.871.871.9455.56%53.34%53.48%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 11:40
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.891%E -0.443%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-12 11:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 11:59
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 12:17
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:40
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:39
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%EV -1.66%E -0.855%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 08:15
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 07:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 11:39
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 11:40
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 09:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:00
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 06:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:00
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 06:10
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 22:55
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 23:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:39
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 06:04
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 04:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:01
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:55
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:55
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 05:59
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 06:00
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 06:05
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:40
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 12:20
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 07:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 01:00
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 11:38
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-04-12 12:20
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-04-12 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-12 12:20
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-04-12 12:01
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-04-12 12:00