L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 49.31%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.398%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.52%49.22%49.21%50.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.921.932.0254.05%51.99%51.81%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.69%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.855%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.60%50.78%50.79%52.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.871.9455.56%53.34%53.48%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.891%E -0.443%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 12:17 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%EV -1.66%E -0.855%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 09:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 06:10 |
| GTbets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 06:04 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:01 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 05:59 |
| ReBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Neds | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 11:38 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| ProphetX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Novig | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |