La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 49.31%2.03quota equa
EV -0.398%
Vantaggio -0.197%
Kelly -0.390%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.52%49.22%49.21%50.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.921.932.0254.05%51.99%51.81%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)
Previsione 50.69%1.97quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.855%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.60%50.78%50.79%52.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.871.9455.56%53.34%53.48%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.398%E -0.197%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.891%E -0.443%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.38%E -0.692%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 12:17 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%EV -1.66%E -0.855%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.85%E -1.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 09:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 06:10 |
| GTbets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 11:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 06:04 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:01 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.82%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 05:59 |
| ReBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.70%E -2.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.73%E -3.66%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 06:05 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.31%E -3.32%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.69%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Neds | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 07:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.21%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.79%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 11:38 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| ProphetX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Novig | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |