Language:English
Cameron Norrie v Miomir Kecmanovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Prediction 63.61%1.57fair odd
EV +10.68%
Edge +6.14%
Kelly +14.43%
Growth +1.54%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.50%63.10%63.91%68.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.521.481.7473.53%65.98%67.80%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit)
Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV +5.53%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.91%
Growth +0.161%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%36.90%36.09%44.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.512.522.9047.17%39.89%39.60%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 63.61%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit): 36.39%. For Cameron Norrie (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV +10.68%E +6.14%K +14.43%G +1.54% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -19.58%E -8.86%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 11:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 11:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -22.85%E -10.78%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 11:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.50%E +4.44%K +10.87%G +0.815% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 11:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.23%E +3.73%K +9.30%G +0.579% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -17.76%E -7.86%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 11:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 11:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.96%E +3.00%K +7.63%G +0.378% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 11:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 11:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 11:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.05%E +1.88%K +4.92%G +0.150% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 11:36 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 11:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 11:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +5.53%E +1.91%K +2.91%G +0.161% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.80%E +1.67%K +2.55%G +0.123% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.94% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.06% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 11:50 |