La escuela de los momios

Cameron Norrie v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inicio: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Predicción 63.61%1.57momio equitativo
EV +10.68%
Ventaja +6.14%
Kelly +14.43%
Crecimiento +1.54%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.50%63.10%63.91%68.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.521.481.7473.53%65.98%67.80%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)

Predicción 36.39%2.75momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +1.91%
Kelly +2.91%
Crecimiento +0.161%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.92%36.90%36.09%44.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.512.522.9047.17%39.89%39.60%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV +10.68%E +6.14%K +14.43%G +1.54%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -19.58%E -8.86%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:49
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -22.85%E -10.78%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:36
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.50%E +4.44%K +10.87%G +0.815%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 11:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.23%E +3.73%K +9.30%G +0.579%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:36
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -17.76%E -7.86%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 11:35
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:39
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.96%E +3.00%K +7.63%G +0.378%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 11:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.05%E +1.88%K +4.92%G +0.150%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:36
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:48
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:49
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%4.7%2026-04-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:50
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%7.1%2026-04-05 11:50
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +5.53%E +1.91%K +2.91%G +0.161%8.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.80%E +1.67%K +2.55%G +0.123%8.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%3.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 61.94%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.06%11.3%2026-04-05 11:50