مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cameron Norrie v Miomir Kecmanovic

البداية: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cameron Norrie (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.61%1.57السعر العادل
EV +10.68%
الأفضلية +6.14%
Kelly +14.43%
النمو +1.54%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.50%63.10%63.91%68.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.521.481.7473.53%65.98%67.80%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.39%2.75السعر العادل
EV +5.53%
الأفضلية +1.91%
Kelly +2.91%
النمو +0.161%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.92%36.90%36.09%44.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.512.522.9047.17%39.89%39.60%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV +10.68%E +6.14%K +14.43%G +1.54%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -19.58%E -8.86%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:49
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -22.85%E -10.78%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:36
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.50%E +4.44%K +10.87%G +0.815%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 11:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.23%E +3.73%K +9.30%G +0.579%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:36
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -17.76%E -7.86%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 11:35
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:39
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.96%E +3.00%K +7.63%G +0.378%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 11:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.05%E +1.88%K +4.92%G +0.150%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:36
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:48
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:49
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%4.7%2026-04-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:50
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%7.1%2026-04-05 11:50
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +5.53%E +1.91%K +2.91%G +0.161%8.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.80%E +1.67%K +2.55%G +0.123%8.3%2026-04-05 11:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%3.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 61.94%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.06%11.3%2026-04-05 11:50