La scuola delle quote

Cameron Norrie v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inizio: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cameron Norrie (Casa)

Previsione 63.61%1.57quota equa
EV +10.68%
Vantaggio +6.14%
Kelly +14.43%
Crescita +1.54%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.50%63.10%63.91%68.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.521.481.7473.53%65.98%67.80%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.39%2.75quota equa
EV +5.53%
Vantaggio +1.91%
Kelly +2.91%
Crescita +0.161%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.92%36.90%36.09%44.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.512.522.9047.17%39.89%39.60%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV +10.68%E +6.14%K +14.43%G +1.54%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -19.58%E -8.86%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:49
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -22.85%E -10.78%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:36
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.50%E +4.44%K +10.87%G +0.815%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 11:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.23%E +3.73%K +9.30%G +0.579%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:36
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -17.76%E -7.86%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 11:35
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:39
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.96%E +3.00%K +7.63%G +0.378%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 11:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.05%E +1.88%K +4.92%G +0.150%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:36
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:48
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:49
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%4.7%2026-04-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:50
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%7.1%2026-04-05 11:50
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +5.53%E +1.91%K +2.91%G +0.161%8.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.80%E +1.67%K +2.55%G +0.123%8.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%3.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 61.94%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.06%11.3%2026-04-05 11:50