L’École des cotes

Cameron Norrie v Miomir Kecmanovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prévision 63.61%1.57cote équitable
EV +10.68%
Avantage +6.14%
Kelly +14.43%
Croissance +1.54%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.50%63.10%63.91%68.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.521.481.7473.53%65.98%67.80%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.39%2.75cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +1.91%
Kelly +2.91%
Croissance +0.161%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.92%36.90%36.09%44.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.512.522.9047.17%39.89%39.60%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV +10.68%E +6.14%K +14.43%G +1.54%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -19.58%E -8.86%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:49
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -19.21%E -8.66%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 11:38
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +8.14%E +4.79%K +11.62%G +0.946%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -22.85%E -10.78%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:36
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.50%E +4.44%K +10.87%G +0.815%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 11:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.23%E +3.73%K +9.30%G +0.579%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:36
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -17.76%E -7.86%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 11:35
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.59%E +3.37%K +8.47%G +0.474%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:39
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +4.96%E +3.00%K +7.63%G +0.378%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 11:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV +4.32%E +2.63%K +6.75%G +0.292%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -21.76%E -10.12%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:36
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.05%E +1.88%K +4.92%G +0.150%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:36
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -0.768%E -0.492%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -1.40%E -0.906%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:48
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.04%E -1.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:49
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 11:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.66%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -3.31%E -2.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.58%E -3.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.31%EV -6.49%E -4.42%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 11:49
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -7.13%E -4.88%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%4.7%2026-04-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:49
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:50
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.647%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.66%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.40%E -5.83%K -19.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.57%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:50
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:49
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.67%E -6.81%K -23.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.71%E +1.30%K +2.01%G +0.074%6.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.89%E +0.676%K +1.05%G +0.020%7.1%2026-04-05 11:50
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.95%E -7.82%K -27.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +5.53%E +1.91%K +2.91%G +0.161%8.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.49%E -9.92%K -37.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.80%E +1.67%K +2.55%G +0.123%8.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-05 11:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%3.2%2026-04-05 11:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 61.94%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.06%11.3%2026-04-05 11:50