A Escola das Odds

Alexei Popyrin v Casper Ruud

Início: 2026-04-07 13:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 26.74%3.74odd justa
EV +2.95%
Vantagem +0.767%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.66%27.19%26.93%31.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.563.543.8533.33%28.10%28.25%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casper Ruud (Visitante)

Previsão 73.26%1.37odd justa
EV +1.10%
Vantagem +0.795%
Kelly +2.89%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.49%72.81%73.07%75.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.281.291.3883.33%78.03%77.82%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +1.10%E +0.795%K +2.89%G +0.032%5.8%2026-04-07 12:54
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.368%E -0.271%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 12:54
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 12:51
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:53
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:54
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:35
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:45
DraftKings3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 12:54
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 19:30
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 12:45
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 12:53
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 05:15
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 05:20
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 12:55
GTbets3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -1.86%E -0.507%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 12:25
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:30
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:54
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 12:55
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 12:55
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 12:55
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 03:40
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 03:40
SportsBet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +2.15%E +0.563%K +0.763%G +0.016%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 11:10
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 12:54
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:54
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 12:55
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:54
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 12:54
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 12:54
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:55
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:55
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:55
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 05:40
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 12:55
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 12:55
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -43.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 12:55
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -12.09%E -10.07%K -60.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 12:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-07 12:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-04-07 12:55
ProphetX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-04-07 12:55
Novig3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%8.1%2026-04-07 12:53