مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexei Popyrin v Casper Ruud

البداية: 2026-04-07 13:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.74%3.74السعر العادل
EV +2.95%
الأفضلية +0.767%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.66%27.19%26.93%31.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.563.543.8533.33%28.10%28.25%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casper Ruud (الضيف)

التنبؤ 73.26%1.37السعر العادل
EV +1.10%
الأفضلية +0.795%
Kelly +2.89%
النمو +0.032%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.49%72.81%73.07%75.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.281.291.3883.33%78.03%77.82%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +1.10%E +0.795%K +2.89%G +0.032%5.8%2026-04-07 12:54
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.368%E -0.271%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 12:54
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 12:51
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:53
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:54
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:35
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:45
DraftKings3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 12:54
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 19:30
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 12:45
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 12:53
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 05:15
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 05:20
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 12:55
GTbets3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -1.86%E -0.507%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 12:25
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:30
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:54
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 12:55
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 12:55
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 12:55
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 03:40
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 03:40
SportsBet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +2.15%E +0.563%K +0.763%G +0.016%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 11:10
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 12:54
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:55
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:54
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 12:55
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:54
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 12:54
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 12:54
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:55
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:55
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 12:55
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 05:40
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 12:55
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 12:55
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -43.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 12:55
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -12.09%E -10.07%K -60.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 12:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-04-07 12:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-04-07 12:55
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-04-07 12:55
ProphetX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-04-07 12:55
Novig3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%8.1%2026-04-07 12:53