Lingua:Italiano
Alexei Popyrin v Casper Ruud
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alexei Popyrin (Casa)
Previsione 26.74%3.74quota equa
EV +2.95%
Vantaggio +0.767%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.031%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.66%27.19%26.93%31.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.563.543.8533.33%28.10%28.25%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Casper Ruud (Trasferta)
Previsione 73.26%1.37quota equa
EV +1.10%
Vantaggio +0.795%
Kelly +2.89%
Crescita +0.032%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%72.81%73.07%75.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.281.291.3883.33%78.03%77.82%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexei Popyrin (Casa): 26.74%; Casper Ruud (Trasferta): 73.26%. Per Alexei Popyrin (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.74. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.85, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.95%.
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +1.10%E +0.795%K +2.89%G +0.032% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.368%E -0.271%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 12:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 05:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -1.86%E -0.507%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 12:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 03:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 03:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +2.15%E +0.563%K +0.763%G +0.016% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 05:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -12.09%E -10.07%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |