La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexei Popyrin v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Predicción 26.74%3.74momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.767%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.66%27.19%26.93%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.563.543.8533.33%28.10%28.25%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 73.26%1.37momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.795%
Kelly +2.89%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%72.81%73.07%75.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.281.291.3883.33%78.03%77.82%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +1.10%E +0.795%K +2.89%G +0.032% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.368%E -0.271%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 12:51 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 05:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| GTbets | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -1.86%E -0.507%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 12:25 |
| Bally Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 03:40 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 03:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +2.15%E +0.563%K +0.763%G +0.016% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 05:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -12.09%E -10.07%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Novig | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |