L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alexei Popyrin v Casper Ruud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Prévision 26.74%3.74cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +0.767%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%27.19%26.93%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.563.543.8533.33%28.10%28.25%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Casper Ruud (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.26%1.37cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.795%
Kelly +2.89%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%72.81%73.07%75.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.281.291.3883.33%78.03%77.82%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +1.10%E +0.795%K +2.89%G +0.032% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.368%E -0.271%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -1.83%E -1.37%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -19.78%E -6.59%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 12:51 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.03%E -3.08%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.87%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.43%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 05:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| GTbets | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -1.86%E -0.507%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 12:25 |
| Bally Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +1.62%E +0.425%K +0.577%G +0.009% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 03:40 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 03:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +2.15%E +0.563%K +0.763%G +0.016% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +2.95%E +0.767%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.69%E -6.11%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.280%E +0.075%K +0.102%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.06%E -0.286%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 05:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -2.39%E -0.656%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -12.09%E -10.07%K -60.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Novig | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |