Language:English
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fery
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Prediction 68.88%1.45fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -8.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.21%68.84%68.69%70.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4075.19%72.70%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fery (Visit)
Prediction 31.12%3.21fair odd
EV +0.525%
Edge +0.163%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.54%31.16%31.31%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.053.053.2334.84%32.83%32.79%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local): 68.88%; Arthur Fery (Visit): 31.12%. For Arthur Fery (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.525%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +0.525%E +0.163%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV +0.214%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 11:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.65%E -0.523%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.90%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 12:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 07:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 06:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 06:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |