StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fery

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-19 18:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim)

Prognose 68.88%1.45faire Quote
EV -3.57%
Vorteil -2.55%
Kelly -8.93%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.21%68.84%68.69%70.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.381.381.4075.19%72.70%72.46%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fery (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.12%3.21faire Quote
EV +0.525%
Vorteil +0.163%
Kelly +0.235%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.54%31.16%31.31%32.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.873.053.053.2334.84%32.83%32.79%30.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim): 68.88%; Arthur Fery (Auswärts): 31.12%. Für Arthur Fery (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.21. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.23 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.525%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +0.525%E +0.163%K +0.235%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV +0.214%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 11:24
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.65%E -0.523%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:00
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.90%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:59
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 12:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 12:54
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:54
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:54
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 12:55
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:59
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 12:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:29
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 07:30
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 06:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 06:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%2.5%2026-03-19 18:34
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-03-19 18:35