La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fery
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Predicción 68.88%1.45momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -8.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.21%68.84%68.69%70.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4075.19%72.70%72.46%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fery (Visitante)
Predicción 31.12%3.21momio equitativo
EV +0.525%
Ventaja +0.163%
Kelly +0.235%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.54%31.16%31.31%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.873.053.053.2334.84%32.83%32.79%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +0.525%E +0.163%K +0.235%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV +0.214%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 11:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.65%E -0.523%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.90%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:25 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:25 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 12:55 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:59 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 14:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:29 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 07:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 06:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 06:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |