L’École des cotes

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fery

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 18:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)

Prévision 68.88%1.45cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -8.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.21%68.84%68.69%70.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.381.381.4075.19%72.70%72.46%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arthur Fery (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.12%3.21cote équitable
EV +0.525%
Avantage +0.163%
Kelly +0.235%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.54%31.16%31.31%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.873.053.053.2334.84%32.83%32.79%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +0.525%E +0.163%K +0.235%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV +0.214%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 11:24
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.65%E -0.523%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:00
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 18:30
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.90%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 18:34
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:59
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:00
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 12:54
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:44
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 12:54
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:54
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:54
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:59
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 18:19
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 12:54
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 12:55
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:34
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:59
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 14:19
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:54
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 12:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 12:00
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:29
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 18:00
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 12:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 07:30
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 06:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 06:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%2.5%2026-03-19 18:34
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-03-19 18:35