La scuola delle quote

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fery

Inizio: 2026-03-19 18:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)

Previsione 68.88%1.45quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -2.55%
Kelly -8.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.21%68.84%68.69%70.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.381.381.4075.19%72.70%72.46%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fery (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.12%3.21quota equa
EV +0.525%
Vantaggio +0.163%
Kelly +0.235%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.54%31.16%31.31%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.873.053.053.2334.84%32.83%32.79%30.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV +0.525%E +0.163%K +0.235%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV +0.214%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 11:24
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.65%E -0.523%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:00
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 18:30
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.96%E -0.624%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.90%E -0.929%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 18:34
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:59
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:00
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 12:54
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:44
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:25
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 12:54
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:54
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 12:54
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:59
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 18:19
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 12:54
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 12:55
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.26%E -3.06%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.70%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:34
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:59
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 14:19
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:00
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.95%E -3.59%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 12:54
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 12:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 12:00
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:29
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.39%E -6.31%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 18:00
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.64%E -4.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 12:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 07:30
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.65%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 06:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.57%E -2.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 06:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-19 18:30
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%2.5%2026-03-19 18:34
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-03-19 18:35