Школа коэффициентов

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Alex de Minaur

Начало: 2026-03-21 01:05 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Хозяева)

Прогноз 38.45%2.60справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.74%
Преимущество +2.09%
Kelly +3.28%
Рост +0.189%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.37%38.48%39.01%44.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.512.552.7547.62%39.81%39.22%36.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alex de Minaur (Гости)

Прогноз 61.55%1.62справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.25%
Преимущество +3.07%
Kelly +7.39%
Рост +0.388%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.71

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.12%61.52%60.99%65.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.431.511.501.7169.93%66.18%66.67%58.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -19.25%E -9.17%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.25%E +3.07%K +7.39%G +0.388%6.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.52%E -0.953%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:04
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.14%E -1.35%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 01:04
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 01:05
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:05
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 01:01
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:05
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:05
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:05
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 01:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 01:05
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +4.98%E +1.82%K +2.88%G +0.143%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 00:55
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.90%E +0.717%K +1.15%G +0.022%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 01:05
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 01:05
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 01:02
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 01:02
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +1.13%E +0.430%K +0.693%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +2.67%E +0.999%K +1.60%G +0.043%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:55
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +3.44%E +1.28%K +2.03%G +0.070%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 01:05
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.82%E +1.42%K +2.25%G +0.086%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 01:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Bet Right2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-21 01:05
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-21 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%3.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%4.5%2026-03-21 01:05