La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Predicción 38.45%2.60momio equitativo
EV +5.74%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +3.28%
Crecimiento +0.189%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%38.48%39.01%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.512.552.7547.62%39.81%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 61.55%1.62momio equitativo
EV +5.25%
Ventaja +3.07%
Kelly +7.39%
Crecimiento +0.388%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%61.52%60.99%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.511.501.7169.93%66.18%66.67%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -19.25%E -9.17%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.25%E +3.07%K +7.39%G +0.388% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.52%E -0.953%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.14%E -1.35%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 01:01 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +4.98%E +1.82%K +2.88%G +0.143% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.90%E +0.717%K +1.15%G +0.022% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:02 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:02 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +1.13%E +0.430%K +0.693%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +2.67%E +0.999%K +1.60%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +3.44%E +1.28%K +2.03%G +0.070% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.82%E +1.42%K +2.25%G +0.086% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Novig | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |