L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Alex de Minaur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Prévision 38.45%2.60cote équitable
EV +5.74%
Avantage +2.09%
Kelly +3.28%
Croissance +0.189%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%38.48%39.01%44.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.512.552.7547.62%39.81%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.55%1.62cote équitable
EV +5.25%
Avantage +3.07%
Kelly +7.39%
Croissance +0.388%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%61.52%60.99%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.511.501.7169.93%66.18%66.67%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -19.25%E -9.17%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.25%E +3.07%K +7.39%G +0.388% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.52%E -0.953%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.14%E -1.35%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 01:01 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +4.98%E +1.82%K +2.88%G +0.143% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.90%E +0.717%K +1.15%G +0.022% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:02 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:02 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +1.13%E +0.430%K +0.693%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +2.67%E +0.999%K +1.60%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +3.44%E +1.28%K +2.03%G +0.070% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.82%E +1.42%K +2.25%G +0.086% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Novig | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |