مدرسة الاحتمالات

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Alex de Minaur

البداية: 2026-03-21 01:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.45%2.60السعر العادل
EV +5.74%
الأفضلية +2.09%
Kelly +3.28%
النمو +0.189%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.37%38.48%39.01%44.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.512.552.7547.62%39.81%39.22%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex de Minaur (الضيف)

التنبؤ 61.55%1.62السعر العادل
EV +5.25%
الأفضلية +3.07%
Kelly +7.39%
النمو +0.388%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.12%61.52%60.99%65.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.511.501.7169.93%66.18%66.67%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -19.25%E -9.17%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.25%E +3.07%K +7.39%G +0.388%6.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.52%E -0.953%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:04
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.14%E -1.35%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 01:04
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 01:05
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:05
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 01:01
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:05
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:05
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:05
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 01:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 01:05
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +4.98%E +1.82%K +2.88%G +0.143%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 00:55
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.90%E +0.717%K +1.15%G +0.022%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 01:05
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 01:05
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 01:02
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 01:02
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +1.13%E +0.430%K +0.693%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +2.67%E +0.999%K +1.60%G +0.043%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:55
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +3.44%E +1.28%K +2.03%G +0.070%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 01:05
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.82%E +1.42%K +2.25%G +0.086%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 01:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Bet Right2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-21 01:05
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-21 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%3.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%4.5%2026-03-21 01:05