La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Alex de Minaur
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)
Previsione 38.45%2.60quota equa
EV +5.74%
Vantaggio +2.09%
Kelly +3.28%
Crescita +0.189%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.37%38.48%39.01%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.512.552.7547.62%39.81%39.22%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)
Previsione 61.55%1.62quota equa
EV +5.25%
Vantaggio +3.07%
Kelly +7.39%
Crescita +0.388%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%61.52%60.99%65.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.511.501.7169.93%66.18%66.67%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -19.25%E -9.17%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.25%E +3.07%K +7.39%G +0.388% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.52%E -0.953%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.14%E -1.35%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 01:01 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +4.98%E +1.82%K +2.88%G +0.143% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.90%E +0.717%K +1.15%G +0.022% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:02 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 01:02 |
| SportsBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +1.13%E +0.430%K +0.693%G +0.008% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +2.67%E +0.999%K +1.60%G +0.043% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +3.44%E +1.28%K +2.03%G +0.070% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.82%E +1.42%K +2.25%G +0.086% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Novig | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 01:05 |