Szkoła Kursów

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Alex de Minaur

Początek: 2026-03-21 01:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 38.45%2.60kurs godziwy
EV +5.74%
Przewaga +2.09%
Kelly +3.28%
Wzrost +0.189%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.37%38.48%39.01%44.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.512.552.7547.62%39.81%39.22%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alex de Minaur (Goście)

Prognoza 61.55%1.62kurs godziwy
EV +5.25%
Przewaga +3.07%
Kelly +7.39%
Wzrost +0.388%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.12%61.52%60.99%65.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.511.501.7169.93%66.18%66.67%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -19.25%E -9.17%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +5.25%E +3.07%K +7.39%G +0.388%6.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.52%E -0.953%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:04
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.14%E -1.35%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 01:04
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.48%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.37%E -2.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 01:05
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:05
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.60%E -2.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 01:01
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:05
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:05
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.79%E -2.36%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:05
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.48%E -3.56%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:05
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.83%E -3.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 01:05
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -7.06%E -4.68%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 01:05
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +4.98%E +1.82%K +2.88%G +0.143%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 00:55
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.90%E +0.717%K +1.15%G +0.022%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.71%E -3.21%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 01:05
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 01:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.68%E -5.12%K -15.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 01:05
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 01:02
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 01:02
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +1.13%E +0.430%K +0.693%G +0.008%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.29%E -5.57%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 01:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.95%E -0.763%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.91%E -6.02%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +2.67%E +0.999%K +1.60%G +0.043%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:55
DraftKings2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV +3.44%E +1.28%K +2.03%G +0.070%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -10.14%E -6.95%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 01:05
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.82%E +1.42%K +2.25%G +0.086%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 01:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.74%E +2.09%K +3.28%G +0.189%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.37%E -7.90%K -25.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Bet Right2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV +4.59%E +1.69%K +2.67%G +0.123%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -11.99%E -8.38%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-21 01:05
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-03-21 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.8%2026-03-21 01:05
Novig2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%3.0%2026-03-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%4.5%2026-03-21 01:05