Language:English
Roberto Bautista Agut v Karen Khachanov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Prediction 22.02%4.54fair odd
EV +32.10%
Edge +5.35%
Kelly +6.42%
Growth +2.06%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%21.85%21.01%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.173.856.0029.41%23.95%25.97%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karen Khachanov (Visit)
Prediction 77.98%1.28fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +6.96%
Growth +0.150%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.63%78.15%78.99%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.231.251.3189.29%81.34%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Roberto Bautista Agut (Local): 22.02%; Karen Khachanov (Visit): 77.98%. For Roberto Bautista Agut (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +32.10%E +5.35%K +6.42%G +2.06% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -12.66%E -11.30%K -105.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +25.50%E +4.47%K +5.43%G +1.38% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +16.69%E +3.15%K +3.88%G +0.648% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +15.59%E +2.97%K +3.67%G +0.572% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +8.99%E +1.82%K +2.27%G +0.204% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +7.88%E +1.61%K +2.02%G +0.159% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -4.23%E -0.971%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -13.03%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -14.13%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -15.23%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -17.66%E -4.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -19.64%E -5.38%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -25.14%E -7.39%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |