مدرسة الاحتمالات

Roberto Bautista Agut v Karen Khachanov

البداية: 2026-03-20 23:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.02%4.54السعر العادل
EV +32.10%
الأفضلية +5.35%
Kelly +6.42%
النمو +2.06%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.73%21.85%21.01%27.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.173.856.0029.41%23.95%25.97%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Karen Khachanov (الضيف)

التنبؤ 77.98%1.28السعر العادل
EV +2.16%
الأفضلية +1.65%
Kelly +6.96%
النمو +0.150%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.63%78.15%78.99%84.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.231.251.3189.29%81.34%80.00%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +32.10%E +5.35%K +6.42%G +2.06%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -12.66%E -11.30%K -105.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:40
DraftKings5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +25.50%E +4.47%K +5.43%G +1.38%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:40
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +16.69%E +3.15%K +3.88%G +0.648%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:40
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +15.59%E +2.97%K +3.67%G +0.572%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:40
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:40
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +8.99%E +1.82%K +2.27%G +0.204%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 22:40
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +7.88%E +1.61%K +2.02%G +0.159%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:40
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 22:40
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 22:40
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 22:40
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:40
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:40
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:40
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:40
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -4.23%E -0.971%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 22:40
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 22:39
Pinnacle3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -13.03%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%2.8%2026-03-20 22:30
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -14.13%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 22:30
1xBet3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -15.23%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%2.9%2026-03-20 22:30
LowVig.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 22:30
BetOnline.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 22:30
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 22:39
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 22:39
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:39
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -17.66%E -4.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:29
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:30
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:30
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:25
ReBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -19.64%E -5.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%4.9%2026-03-20 22:24
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150%4.1%2026-03-20 22:29
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150%4.1%2026-03-20 22:24
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:24
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 22:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.5%2026-03-20 22:30
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%6.1%2026-03-20 22:30
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%6.1%2026-03-20 22:35
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%6.1%2026-03-20 22:35
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 22:30
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.9%2026-03-20 22:34
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.9%2026-03-20 22:35
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -25.14%E -7.39%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 22:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-03-20 22:40
ProphetX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-03-20 22:30
Novig3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81%2.0%2026-03-20 22:35
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40