L’École des cotes

Roberto Bautista Agut v Karen Khachanov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)

Prévision 22.02%4.54cote équitable
EV +32.10%
Avantage +5.35%
Kelly +6.42%
Croissance +2.06%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.73%21.85%21.01%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.173.856.0029.41%23.95%25.97%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.98%1.28cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +1.65%
Kelly +6.96%
Croissance +0.150%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.63%78.15%78.99%84.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.231.251.3189.29%81.34%80.00%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +32.10%E +5.35%K +6.42%G +2.06%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -12.66%E -11.30%K -105.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:40
DraftKings5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +25.50%E +4.47%K +5.43%G +1.38%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:40
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +16.69%E +3.15%K +3.88%G +0.648%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 22:40
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +15.59%E +2.97%K +3.67%G +0.572%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 22:40
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:40
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +8.99%E +1.82%K +2.27%G +0.204%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 22:40
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +7.88%E +1.61%K +2.02%G +0.159%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:40
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 22:40
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 22:40
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 22:40
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 22:40
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:40
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:40
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:40
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -4.23%E -0.971%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 22:40
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 22:39
Pinnacle3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -13.03%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%2.8%2026-03-20 22:30
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -14.13%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 22:30
1xBet3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -15.23%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%2.9%2026-03-20 22:30
LowVig.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 22:30
BetOnline.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 22:30
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 22:39
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 22:39
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:39
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -17.66%E -4.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:29
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:30
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 22:30
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:25
ReBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -19.64%E -5.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%4.9%2026-03-20 22:24
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150%4.1%2026-03-20 22:29
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150%4.1%2026-03-20 22:24
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:24
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
Bally Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.1%2026-03-20 22:24
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 22:34
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.5%2026-03-20 22:30
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%6.1%2026-03-20 22:30
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%6.1%2026-03-20 22:35
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012%6.1%2026-03-20 22:35
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 22:30
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.9%2026-03-20 22:34
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063%5.9%2026-03-20 22:35
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -25.14%E -7.39%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-03-20 22:40
ProphetX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%1.7%2026-03-20 22:30
Novig3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81%2.0%2026-03-20 22:35
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%7.7%2026-03-20 22:40