La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Roberto Bautista Agut v Karen Khachanov
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Roberto Bautista Agut (Casa)
Previsione 22.02%4.54quota equa
EV +32.10%
Vantaggio +5.35%
Kelly +6.42%
Crescita +2.06%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.73%21.85%21.01%27.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.173.856.0029.41%23.95%25.97%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Karen Khachanov (Trasferta)
Previsione 77.98%1.28quota equa
EV +2.16%
Vantaggio +1.65%
Kelly +6.96%
Crescita +0.150%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.63%78.15%78.99%84.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.231.251.3189.29%81.34%80.00%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +32.10%E +5.35%K +6.42%G +2.06% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -12.66%E -11.30%K -105.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +25.50%E +4.47%K +5.43%G +1.38% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +16.69%E +3.15%K +3.88%G +0.648% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +15.59%E +2.97%K +3.67%G +0.572% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +8.99%E +1.82%K +2.27%G +0.204% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +7.88%E +1.61%K +2.02%G +0.159% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -4.23%E -0.971%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -13.03%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -14.13%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -15.23%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -17.66%E -4.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| ReBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -19.64%E -5.38%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Bally Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Fliff | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -25.14%E -7.39%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Novig | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |