La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Roberto Bautista Agut v Karen Khachanov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Roberto Bautista Agut (Local)
Predicción 22.02%4.54momio equitativo
EV +32.10%
Ventaja +5.35%
Kelly +6.42%
Crecimiento +2.06%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.73%21.85%21.01%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.173.856.0029.41%23.95%25.97%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Karen Khachanov (Visitante)
Predicción 77.98%1.28momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +6.96%
Crecimiento +0.150%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.63%78.15%78.99%84.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.231.251.3189.29%81.34%80.00%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +32.10%E +5.35%K +6.42%G +2.06% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -12.66%E -11.30%K -105.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +25.50%E +4.47%K +5.43%G +1.38% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +16.69%E +3.15%K +3.88%G +0.648% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +15.59%E +2.97%K +3.67%G +0.572% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +10.09%E +2.02%K +2.52%G +0.254% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.10%E -9.74%K -79.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV +8.99%E +1.82%K +2.27%G +0.204% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +7.88%E +1.61%K +2.02%G +0.159% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -10.32%E -8.97%K -68.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +4.58%E +0.965%K +1.22%G +0.056% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.20%E -6.05%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +3.48%E +0.741%K +0.941%G +0.033% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -9.54%E -8.22%K -59.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.98%E -6.76%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.923%E -0.205%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.12%E -0.710%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -4.23%E -0.971%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.76%E -7.49%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.73%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.86%E -3.98%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%EV -13.03%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -14.13%E -3.62%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -15.23%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -15.67%E -4.09%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.33%E -4.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.30%E -2.66%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -17.66%E -4.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -18.54%E -5.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:25 |
| ReBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -19.64%E -5.38%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +2.16%E +1.65%K +6.96%G +0.150% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -20.74%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.182%E -0.142%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Bally Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 22:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -21.84%E -6.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -0.962%E -0.757%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +0.598%E +0.463%K +2.06%G +0.012% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -22.94%E -6.55%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -2.52%E -2.02%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:34 |
| theScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -24.04%E -6.97%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.59%G +0.063% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Fliff | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -25.14%E -7.39%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -1.74%E -1.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-03-20 22:30 |
| Novig | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.19% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.81% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 22:35 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |