Language:English
Reilly Opelka v Nuno Borges
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reilly Opelka (Local)
Prediction 55.83%1.79fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.890%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%55.98%55.85%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.671.8263.69%59.08%59.88%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nuno Borges (Visit)
Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.687%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%44.02%44.15%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.132.122.3051.28%46.96%47.17%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reilly Opelka (Local): 55.83%; Nuno Borges (Visit): 44.17%. For Reilly Opelka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV +1.62%E +0.890%K +1.97%G +0.032% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 17:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -4.85%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.614%E -0.345%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -12.11%E -6.09%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -8.58%E -4.14%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.93%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 18:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.31%E -4.41%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.51%E -0.678%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.58%E +0.687%K +1.22%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 18:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -10.11%E -6.28%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -11.22%E -7.06%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.34%E -7.86%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |