A Escola das Odds

Reilly Opelka v Nuno Borges

Início: 2026-03-19 18:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Reilly Opelka (Local)

Previsão 55.83%1.79odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.890%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%55.98%55.85%58.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.691.671.8263.69%59.08%59.88%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nuno Borges (Visitante)

Previsão 44.17%2.26odd justa
EV +1.58%
Vantagem +0.687%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.10%44.02%44.15%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.132.122.3051.28%46.96%47.17%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV +1.62%E +0.890%K +1.97%G +0.032%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 17:59
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -4.85%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 18:04
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.614%E -0.345%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 18:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -12.11%E -6.09%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -8.58%E -4.14%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:14
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 18:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 18:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.93%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 18:29
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 18:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 18:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 18:33
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.31%E -4.41%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.51%E -0.678%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:35
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:35
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:34
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 18:34
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.58%E +0.687%K +1.22%G +0.019%5.2%2026-03-19 18:34
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 18:33
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -10.11%E -6.28%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -11.22%E -7.06%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 18:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.34%E -7.86%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-19 18:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-03-19 18:35
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-19 18:34
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-03-19 18:34