Школа коэффициентов

Reilly Opelka v Nuno Borges

Начало: 2026-03-19 18:35 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Reilly Opelka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 55.83%1.79справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.62%
Преимущество +0.890%
Kelly +1.97%
Рост +0.032%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.00%55.98%55.85%58.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.691.671.8263.69%59.08%59.88%54.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nuno Borges (Гости)

Прогноз 44.17%2.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.58%
Преимущество +0.687%
Kelly +1.22%
Рост +0.019%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.10%44.02%44.15%48.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.132.122.3051.28%46.96%47.17%43.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV +1.62%E +0.890%K +1.97%G +0.032%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 17:59
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -4.85%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 18:04
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.614%E -0.345%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 18:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -12.11%E -6.09%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -8.58%E -4.14%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:14
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 18:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 18:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.93%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 18:29
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 18:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 18:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 18:33
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.31%E -4.41%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.51%E -0.678%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:35
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:35
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:34
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 18:34
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.58%E +0.687%K +1.22%G +0.019%5.2%2026-03-19 18:34
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 18:33
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -10.11%E -6.28%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -11.22%E -7.06%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 18:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.34%E -7.86%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-19 18:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-03-19 18:35
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-19 18:34
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-03-19 18:34