Szkoła Kursów

Reilly Opelka v Nuno Borges

Początek: 2026-03-19 18:35 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Reilly Opelka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.83%1.79kurs godziwy
EV +1.62%
Przewaga +0.890%
Kelly +1.97%
Wzrost +0.032%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.82

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.00%55.98%55.85%58.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.691.671.8263.69%59.08%59.88%54.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Nuno Borges (Goście)

Prognoza 44.17%2.26kurs godziwy
EV +1.58%
Przewaga +0.687%
Kelly +1.22%
Wzrost +0.019%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.10%44.02%44.15%48.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.132.122.3051.28%46.96%47.17%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV +1.62%E +0.890%K +1.97%G +0.032%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 17:59
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -4.85%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 18:04
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.614%E -0.345%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 18:30
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -12.11%E -6.09%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:19
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -8.58%E -4.14%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:14
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 18:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 18:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.93%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 18:19
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:34
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 18:29
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 18:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 18:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:34
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 18:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 18:33
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.31%E -4.41%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.51%E -0.678%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 18:35
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:35
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:35
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:34
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 18:34
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.58%E +0.687%K +1.22%G +0.019%5.2%2026-03-19 18:34
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 18:33
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -10.11%E -6.28%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -11.22%E -7.06%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 18:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.34%E -7.86%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 18:34
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-03-19 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-19 18:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-03-19 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-03-19 18:35
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-19 18:34
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-03-19 18:35
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-03-19 18:34