La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Reilly Opelka v Nuno Borges
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Reilly Opelka (Local)
Predicción 55.83%1.79momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.890%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%55.98%55.85%58.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.691.671.8263.69%59.08%59.88%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nuno Borges (Visitante)
Predicción 44.17%2.26momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.687%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%44.02%44.15%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.132.122.3051.28%46.96%47.17%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV +1.62%E +0.890%K +1.97%G +0.032% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -7.69%E -3.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 17:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -4.85%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.502%E +0.279%K +0.628%G +0.003% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 18:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.614%E -0.345%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -1.73%E -0.983%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -12.11%E -6.09%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.14%E -3.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -8.58%E -4.14%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 18:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.29%E -1.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -13.88%E -7.12%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.93%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.46%E -4.62%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 18:33 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.31%E -4.41%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.51%E -0.678%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.99%E -5.52%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -5.49%E -2.56%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.58%E +0.687%K +1.22%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.55%E -5.89%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 18:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -10.11%E -6.28%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -6.37%E -3.00%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -11.22%E -7.06%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.34%E -7.86%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.628%E -0.279%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-03-19 18:35 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 18:34 |