A Escola das Odds

Raphael Collignon v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Raphael Collignon (Local)

Previsão 45.13%2.22odd justa
EV +7.41%
Vantagem +3.11%
Kelly +5.37%
Crescimento +0.398%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.13%44.67%45.53%49.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.932.082.082.3851.81%48.18%48.08%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 54.87%1.82odd justa
EV +2.60%
Vantagem +1.39%
Kelly +2.99%
Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.79%55.33%54.47%60.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.731.751.8765.36%57.83%57.14%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +7.41%E +3.11%K +5.37%G +0.398%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -16.05%E -10.49%K -30.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 00:54
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.643%E +0.288%K +0.523%G +0.003%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 00:50
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 00:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:50
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:55
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.77%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 00:45
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:55
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 00:55
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:30
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:30
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV +0.958%E +0.521%K +1.14%G +0.011%2.4%2026-03-21 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:29
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.82%E -4.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:50
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 00:44
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:46
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:55
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.29%E -4.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 00:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:43
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:47
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:54
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 00:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 00:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.64%E -5.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.92%E -5.37%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 00:55
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 00:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -12.90%E -6.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +2.60%E +1.39%K +2.99%G +0.078%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-03-21 00:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-21 00:55
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%3.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55