La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Raphael Collignon v Flavio Cobolli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Predicción 45.13%2.22momio equitativo
EV +7.41%
Ventaja +3.11%
Kelly +5.37%
Crecimiento +0.398%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.13%44.67%45.53%49.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.082.082.3851.81%48.18%48.08%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 54.87%1.82momio equitativo
EV +2.60%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +2.99%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.79%55.33%54.47%60.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.731.751.8765.36%57.83%57.14%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +7.41%E +3.11%K +5.37%G +0.398% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -16.05%E -10.49%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.643%E +0.288%K +0.523%G +0.003% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.77%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| GTbets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV +0.958%E +0.521%K +1.14%G +0.011% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 00:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.82%E -4.66%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:46 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| ReBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.29%E -4.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:43 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 00:47 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.64%E -5.37%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.92%E -5.37%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -12.90%E -6.68%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +2.60%E +1.39%K +2.99%G +0.078% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| ProphetX | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |