Szkoła Kursów

Raphael Collignon v Flavio Cobolli

Początek: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Raphael Collignon (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.13%2.22kurs godziwy
EV +7.41%
Przewaga +3.11%
Kelly +5.37%
Wzrost +0.398%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.13%44.67%45.53%49.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.932.082.082.3851.81%48.18%48.08%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Flavio Cobolli (Goście)

Prognoza 54.87%1.82kurs godziwy
EV +2.60%
Przewaga +1.39%
Kelly +2.99%
Wzrost +0.078%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.87

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.79%55.33%54.47%60.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.731.751.8765.36%57.83%57.14%53.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +7.41%E +3.11%K +5.37%G +0.398%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -16.05%E -10.49%K -30.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 00:54
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.643%E +0.288%K +0.523%G +0.003%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 00:50
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 00:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:50
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:55
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.77%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 00:45
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:55
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 00:55
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:30
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:30
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV +0.958%E +0.521%K +1.14%G +0.011%2.4%2026-03-21 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:29
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.82%E -4.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:50
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 00:44
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:46
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:55
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.29%E -4.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 00:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:43
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:47
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:54
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 00:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 00:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.64%E -5.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.92%E -5.37%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 00:55
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 00:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -12.90%E -6.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +2.60%E +1.39%K +2.99%G +0.078%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-03-21 00:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-21 00:55
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%3.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55