L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Raphael Collignon v Flavio Cobolli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Prévision 45.13%2.22cote équitable
EV +7.41%
Avantage +3.11%
Kelly +5.37%
Croissance +0.398%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.13%44.67%45.53%49.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.082.082.3851.81%48.18%48.08%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.87%1.82cote équitable
EV +2.60%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +2.99%
Croissance +0.078%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.79%55.33%54.47%60.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.731.751.8765.36%57.83%57.14%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +7.41%E +3.11%K +5.37%G +0.398% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -16.05%E -10.49%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.643%E +0.288%K +0.523%G +0.003% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.77%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 00:30 |
| GTbets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV +0.958%E +0.521%K +1.14%G +0.011% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 00:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.82%E -4.66%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:46 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| ReBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.29%E -4.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:43 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 00:47 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.64%E -5.37%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.92%E -5.37%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -12.90%E -6.68%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +2.60%E +1.39%K +2.99%G +0.078% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Novig | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| ProphetX | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |