مدرسة الاحتمالات

Raphael Collignon v Flavio Cobolli

البداية: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Raphael Collignon (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.13%2.22السعر العادل
EV +7.41%
الأفضلية +3.11%
Kelly +5.37%
النمو +0.398%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.13%44.67%45.53%49.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.932.082.082.3851.81%48.18%48.08%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flavio Cobolli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.87%1.82السعر العادل
EV +2.60%
الأفضلية +1.39%
Kelly +2.99%
النمو +0.078%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.79%55.33%54.47%60.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.731.751.8765.36%57.83%57.14%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +7.41%E +3.11%K +5.37%G +0.398%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -16.05%E -10.49%K -30.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 00:54
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV +0.643%E +0.288%K +0.523%G +0.003%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 00:50
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.711%E -0.323%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 00:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:50
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:55
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -4.77%E -2.26%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 00:45
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:55
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 00:50
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 00:55
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:30
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.68%E -2.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 00:30
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV +0.958%E +0.521%K +1.14%G +0.011%2.4%2026-03-21 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.13%E -2.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:55
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.08%E -2.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 23:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:29
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.82%E -4.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:50
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 00:44
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:46
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:55
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:55
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -9.29%E -4.62%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -0.688%E -0.380%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 00:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.33%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:43
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:47
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:54
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 00:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.74%E -4.87%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 00:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.64%E -5.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -8.92%E -5.37%K -13.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 00:55
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.687%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 00:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -12.90%E -6.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +2.60%E +1.39%K +2.99%G +0.078%5.3%2026-03-21 00:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-03-21 00:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-21 00:55
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%3.8%2026-03-21 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%5.2%2026-03-21 00:55
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%6.9%2026-03-21 00:55