Szkoła Kursów

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Mariano Navone

Początek: 2026-03-19 21:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 5.78%17.31kurs godziwy
EV +235.08%
Przewaga +4.05%
Kelly +4.12%
Wzrost +9.70%

przy maksymalnym kursie 58.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
1.69%13.64%5.61%51.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.8510.705.1058.0054.05%9.35%19.61%1.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Mariano Navone (Goście)

Prognoza 94.22%1.06kurs godziwy
EV +83.73%
Przewaga +42.94%
Kelly +88.14%
Wzrost +73.80%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.95%86.36%94.39%98.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.001.351.151.95100.00%74.06%86.96%51.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +81.85%E +42.41%K +88.01%G +72.04%4.2%2026-03-19 14:00
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +79.97%E +41.87%K +87.87%G +70.27%4.7%2026-03-19 14:06
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +79.02%E +41.59%K +87.80%G +69.39%6.1%2026-03-19 14:00
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50%5.0%2026-03-19 13:59
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50%5.3%2026-03-19 14:04
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +77.14%E +41.03%K +87.66%G +67.62%5.0%2026-03-19 13:59
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73%4.8%2026-03-19 16:06
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73%5.3%2026-03-19 14:06
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73%7.0%2026-03-19 13:59
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73%7.0%2026-03-19 14:00
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73%7.5%2026-03-19 14:07
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +75.25%E +40.46%K +87.50%G +65.85%5.0%2026-03-19 14:18
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97%5.3%2026-03-19 13:59
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97%8.1%2026-03-19 13:59
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -88.68%E -45.24%K -92.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +72.43%E +39.58%K +87.26%G +63.20%5.7%2026-03-19 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32%7.0%2026-03-19 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -89.14%E -47.41%K -101.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32%8.1%2026-03-19 13:59
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -75.74%E -18.03%K -23.67%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +13.07%E +10.89%K +65.34%G +8.54%7.1%2026-03-19 15:40
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17%5.5%2026-03-19 15:46
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17%5.5%2026-03-19 15:46
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17%5.5%2026-03-19 15:46
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17%6.5%2026-03-19 15:46
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV +9.30%E +8.02%K +58.11%G +5.40%7.3%2026-03-19 15:46
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66%5.5%2026-03-19 15:46
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66%5.5%2026-03-19 15:46
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66%5.5%2026-03-19 15:46
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66%6.6%2026-03-19 15:46
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -73.42%E -15.96%K -20.40%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66%8.7%2026-03-19 15:46
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV +7.41%E +6.50%K +52.96%G +3.93%7.3%2026-03-19 15:46
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV +6.47%E +5.73%K +49.78%G +3.22%8.5%2026-03-19 15:46
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33%5.2%2026-03-19 15:46
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33%5.2%2026-03-19 15:46
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -61.00%E -9.04%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV +2.70%E +2.48%K +30.03%G +0.812%6.6%2026-03-19 15:46
Fliff6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -60.14%E -8.72%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -0.124%E -0.117%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 15:47
Pinnacle21.82I 4.58%NM 4.55%EV +26.06%E +1.19%K +1.25%G +0.326%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.45%EV -2.01%E -1.93%K -50.21%G +0.000%0.7%2026-03-19 15:56
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -36.45%E -3.31%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.89%E -3.82%K -194.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 15:48
FanDuel41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +136.87%E +3.34%K +3.42%G +4.68%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%1.4%2026-03-19 15:50
BoyleSports26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 15:49
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 15:50
PointsBet (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 15:48
888sport17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:49
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:49
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 15:49
Unibet (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -13.34%E -0.889%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 15:48
Betsson13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 15:49
NordicBet13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 15:48
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.90%E -1.92%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 15:49
DraftKings58.00I 1.72%NM 1.69%EV +235.08%E +4.05%K +4.12%G +9.70%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.31%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-19 15:49
Paddy Power34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 15:50
Coral34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 15:50
Betway26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 15:49
Fanatics21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 15:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67%0.5%2026-03-19 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67%0.5%2026-03-19 15:51
ProphetX34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-19 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-03-19 15:51
Smarkets28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%1.5%2026-03-19 15:50
Matchbook36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%1.8%2026-03-19 15:49
Novig23.81I 4.20%NM 4.03%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.97%4.2%2026-03-19 15:51