مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Mariano Navone
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Nikoloz Basilashvili (المضيف)
التنبؤ 5.78%17.31السعر العادل
EV +235.08%
الأفضلية +4.05%
Kelly +4.12%
النمو +9.70%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 58.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
1.69%13.64%5.61%51.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.8510.705.1058.0054.05%9.35%19.61%1.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Mariano Navone (الضيف)
التنبؤ 94.22%1.06السعر العادل
EV +83.73%
الأفضلية +42.94%
Kelly +88.14%
النمو +73.80%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.95%86.36%94.39%98.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.351.151.95100.00%74.06%86.96%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +81.85%E +42.41%K +88.01%G +72.04% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +79.97%E +41.87%K +87.87%G +70.27% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +79.02%E +41.59%K +87.80%G +69.39% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| ReBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:04 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +77.14%E +41.03%K +87.66%G +67.62% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +75.25%E +40.46%K +87.50%G +65.85% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:18 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -88.68%E -45.24%K -92.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +72.43%E +39.58%K +87.26%G +63.20% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -89.14%E -47.41%K -101.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -75.74%E -18.03%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +13.07%E +10.89%K +65.34%G +8.54% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:40 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV +9.30%E +8.02%K +58.11%G +5.40% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| BetRivers | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -73.42%E -15.96%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV +7.41%E +6.50%K +52.96%G +3.93% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV +6.47%E +5.73%K +49.78%G +3.22% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -61.00%E -9.04%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV +2.70%E +2.48%K +30.03%G +0.812% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Fliff | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -60.14%E -8.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -0.124%E -0.117%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 15:47 |
| Pinnacle | 21.82I 4.58%NM 4.55%EV +26.06%E +1.19%K +1.25%G +0.326% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.45%EV -2.01%E -1.93%K -50.21%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Bet Victor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -36.45%E -3.31%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.89%E -3.82%K -194.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| FanDuel | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +136.87%E +3.34%K +3.42%G +4.68% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| 888sport | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -13.34%E -0.889%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Betsson | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.90%E -1.92%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| DraftKings | 58.00I 1.72%NM 1.69%EV +235.08%E +4.05%K +4.12%G +9.70% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.31%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Paddy Power | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Coral | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betway | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Fanatics | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| ProphetX | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| Smarkets | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Novig | 23.81I 4.20%NM 4.03% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.97% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |