Langue:Français
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Mariano Navone
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)
Prévision 5.78%17.31cote équitable
EV +235.08%
Avantage +4.05%
Kelly +4.12%
Croissance +9.70%
avec la cote maximale 58.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
1.69%13.64%5.61%51.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.8510.705.1058.0054.05%9.35%19.61%1.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Mariano Navone (Visiteur)
Prévision 94.22%1.06cote équitable
EV +83.73%
Avantage +42.94%
Kelly +88.14%
Croissance +73.80%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%86.36%94.39%98.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.351.151.95100.00%74.06%86.96%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local) : 5.78% ; Mariano Navone (Visiteur) : 94.22%. Pour Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 17.31. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 58.00, soit une espérance positive de +235.08%.
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +81.85%E +42.41%K +88.01%G +72.04% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +79.97%E +41.87%K +87.87%G +70.27% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +79.02%E +41.59%K +87.80%G +69.39% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +77.14%E +41.03%K +87.66%G +67.62% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +75.25%E +40.46%K +87.50%G +65.85% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -88.68%E -45.24%K -92.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +72.43%E +39.58%K +87.26%G +63.20% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -89.14%E -47.41%K -101.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -75.74%E -18.03%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +13.07%E +10.89%K +65.34%G +8.54% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV +9.30%E +8.02%K +58.11%G +5.40% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -73.42%E -15.96%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV +7.41%E +6.50%K +52.96%G +3.93% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV +6.47%E +5.73%K +49.78%G +3.22% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -61.00%E -9.04%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV +2.70%E +2.48%K +30.03%G +0.812% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -60.14%E -8.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -0.124%E -0.117%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 15:47 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 21.82I 4.58%NM 4.55%EV +26.06%E +1.19%K +1.25%G +0.326% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.45%EV -2.01%E -1.93%K -50.21%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -36.45%E -3.31%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.89%E -3.82%K -194.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +136.87%E +3.34%K +3.42%G +4.68% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -13.34%E -0.889%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Caesars🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.90%E -1.92%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 58.00I 1.72%NM 1.69%EV +235.08%E +4.05%K +4.12%G +9.70% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.31%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Novig◎ | 23.81I 4.20%NM 4.03% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.97% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |