La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Mariano Navone
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Casa)
Previsione 5.78%17.31quota equa
EV +235.08%
Vantaggio +4.05%
Kelly +4.12%
Crescita +9.70%
ipotizzando la quota massima 58.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
1.69%13.64%5.61%51.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.8510.705.1058.0054.05%9.35%19.61%1.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mariano Navone (Trasferta)
Previsione 94.22%1.06quota equa
EV +83.73%
Vantaggio +42.94%
Kelly +88.14%
Crescita +73.80%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.95%86.36%94.39%98.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.351.151.95100.00%74.06%86.96%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +81.85%E +42.41%K +88.01%G +72.04% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +79.97%E +41.87%K +87.87%G +70.27% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +79.02%E +41.59%K +87.80%G +69.39% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| ReBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:04 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +77.14%E +41.03%K +87.66%G +67.62% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +75.25%E +40.46%K +87.50%G +65.85% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:18 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -88.68%E -45.24%K -92.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +72.43%E +39.58%K +87.26%G +63.20% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -89.14%E -47.41%K -101.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -75.74%E -18.03%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +13.07%E +10.89%K +65.34%G +8.54% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:40 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV +9.30%E +8.02%K +58.11%G +5.40% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| BetRivers | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -73.42%E -15.96%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV +7.41%E +6.50%K +52.96%G +3.93% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV +6.47%E +5.73%K +49.78%G +3.22% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -61.00%E -9.04%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV +2.70%E +2.48%K +30.03%G +0.812% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Fliff | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -60.14%E -8.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -0.124%E -0.117%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 15:47 |
| Pinnacle | 21.82I 4.58%NM 4.55%EV +26.06%E +1.19%K +1.25%G +0.326% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.45%EV -2.01%E -1.93%K -50.21%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Bet Victor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -36.45%E -3.31%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.89%E -3.82%K -194.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| FanDuel | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +136.87%E +3.34%K +3.42%G +4.68% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| 888sport | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -13.34%E -0.889%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Betsson | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.90%E -1.92%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| DraftKings | 58.00I 1.72%NM 1.69%EV +235.08%E +4.05%K +4.12%G +9.70% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.31%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Paddy Power | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Coral | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betway | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Fanatics | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| ProphetX | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| Smarkets | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Novig | 23.81I 4.20%NM 4.03% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.97% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |