La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Mariano Navone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)
Predicción 5.78%17.31momio equitativo
EV +235.08%
Ventaja +4.05%
Kelly +4.12%
Crecimiento +9.70%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 58.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
1.69%13.64%5.61%51.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.8510.705.1058.0054.05%9.35%19.61%1.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 94.22%1.06momio equitativo
EV +83.73%
Ventaja +42.94%
Kelly +88.14%
Crecimiento +73.80%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%86.36%94.39%98.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.351.151.95100.00%74.06%86.96%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +83.73%E +42.94%K +88.14%G +73.80% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV +81.85%E +42.41%K +88.01%G +72.04% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +79.97%E +41.87%K +87.87%G +70.27% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +79.02%E +41.59%K +87.80%G +69.39% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| ReBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -88.97%E -46.58%K -97.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV +78.08%E +41.31%K +87.73%G +68.50% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:04 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +77.14%E +41.03%K +87.66%G +67.62% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:06 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -88.85%E -46.04%K -95.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 14:06 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -89.20%E -47.70%K -102.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +76.20%E +40.75%K +87.58%G +66.73% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 14:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +75.25%E +40.46%K +87.50%G +65.85% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 14:18 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -88.73%E -45.50%K -93.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -89.31%E -48.28%K -105.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +74.31%E +40.17%K +87.43%G +64.97% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -88.68%E -45.24%K -92.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV +72.43%E +39.58%K +87.26%G +63.20% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -88.91%E -46.31%K -96.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -89.14%E -47.41%K -101.29%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +71.49%E +39.28%K +87.18%G +62.32% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 13:59 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -75.74%E -18.03%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV +13.07%E +10.89%K +65.34%G +8.54% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:40 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV +10.24%E +8.75%K +60.24%G +6.17% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -72.56%E -15.28%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV +9.30%E +8.02%K +58.11%G +5.40% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -68.80%E -12.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| BetRivers | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -73.42%E -15.96%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV +8.36%E +7.27%K +55.71%G +4.66% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -70.54%E -13.83%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV +7.41%E +6.50%K +52.96%G +3.93% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -71.11%E -14.22%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV +6.47%E +5.73%K +49.78%G +3.22% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Casumo | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -59.56%E -8.51%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.65%E +3.31%K +36.45%G +1.33% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -61.00%E -9.04%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV +2.70%E +2.48%K +30.03%G +0.812% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 15:46 |
| Fliff | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -60.14%E -8.72%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -0.124%E -0.117%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 15:47 |
| Pinnacle | 21.82I 4.58%NM 4.55%EV +26.06%E +1.19%K +1.25%G +0.326% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.45%EV -2.01%E -1.93%K -50.21%G +0.000% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 15:56 |
| Bet Victor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -36.45%E -3.31%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.89%E -3.82%K -194.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| FanDuel | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +136.87%E +3.34%K +3.42%G +4.68% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| 888sport | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.79%E -0.105%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -13.34%E -0.889%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Betsson | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| NordicBet | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -22.01%E -1.63%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 15:48 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.90%E -1.92%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.84%E -4.79%K -483.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| DraftKings | 58.00I 1.72%NM 1.69%EV +235.08%E +4.05%K +4.12%G +9.70% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.31%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Paddy Power | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Coral | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +96.43%E +2.84%K +2.92%G +2.82% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betway | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +50.21%E +1.93%K +2.01%G +1.01% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Fanatics | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +21.32%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.227% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.78%E -5.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| ProphetX | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |
| Smarkets | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 15:49 |
| Novig | 23.81I 4.20%NM 4.03% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.97% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 15:51 |