The School of Odds

Luciano Darderi v Martin Landaluce

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Luciano Darderi (Hemma)

Prognos 58.70%1.70rättvist odds
EV +3.90%
Fördel +2.20%
Kelly +5.06%
Tillväxt +0.197%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.00%59.72%59.31%71.59%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.001.581.581.77100.00%63.26%63.29%56.50%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Martin Landaluce (Borta)

Prognos 41.30%2.42rättvist odds
EV +34.23%
Fördel +10.53%
Kelly +15.21%
Tillväxt +5.21%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.41%40.28%40.69%50.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.002.352.233.25100.00%42.61%44.94%30.77%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -24.28%E -18.82%K -83.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +34.23%E +10.53%K +15.21%G +5.21%8.3%2026-03-21 01:55
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +30.51%E +9.66%K +14.13%G +4.31%5.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +28.03%E +9.04%K +13.35%G +3.74%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -20.17%E -14.83%K -56.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +23.90%E +7.97%K +11.95%G +2.86%6.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +13.58%E +4.94%K +7.76%G +1.05%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -17.23%E -12.22%K -42.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%8.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.25%E +1.30%K +2.17%G +0.071%6.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +1.19%E +0.485%K +0.819%G +0.010%7.5%2026-03-21 01:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -13.13%E -8.87%K -27.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.67%E -4.19%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.77%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 01:55
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 01:54
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -10.79%E -5.00%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 01:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 01:54
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -1.39%E -0.825%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 01:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:44
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:45
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:45
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:47
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:45
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:44
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 01:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 01:45
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.30%E -41.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.70%E -58.70%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-03-21 01:55
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-21 01:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%2.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-03-21 01:55