مدرسة الاحتمالات

Luciano Darderi v Martin Landaluce

البداية: 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Luciano Darderi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.70%1.70السعر العادل
EV +3.90%
الأفضلية +2.20%
Kelly +5.06%
النمو +0.197%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%59.72%59.31%71.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.581.581.77100.00%63.26%63.29%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Martin Landaluce (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.30%2.42السعر العادل
EV +34.23%
الأفضلية +10.53%
Kelly +15.21%
النمو +5.21%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.41%40.28%40.69%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.002.352.233.25100.00%42.61%44.94%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -24.28%E -18.82%K -83.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +34.23%E +10.53%K +15.21%G +5.21%8.3%2026-03-21 01:55
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +30.51%E +9.66%K +14.13%G +4.31%5.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +28.03%E +9.04%K +13.35%G +3.74%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -20.17%E -14.83%K -56.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +23.90%E +7.97%K +11.95%G +2.86%6.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36%5.6%2026-03-21 01:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +13.58%E +4.94%K +7.76%G +1.05%6.3%2026-03-21 01:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -17.23%E -12.22%K -42.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780%8.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.25%E +1.30%K +2.17%G +0.071%6.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +1.19%E +0.485%K +0.819%G +0.010%7.5%2026-03-21 01:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -13.13%E -8.87%K -27.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 01:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.67%E -4.19%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.77%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 01:55
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 01:54
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -10.79%E -5.00%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 01:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:54
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 01:54
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:45
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -1.39%E -0.825%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 01:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:44
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:45
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:49
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:45
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:45
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:47
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 01:45
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 01:44
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 01:44
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 01:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 01:45
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.30%E -41.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.70%E -58.70%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-21 01:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-03-21 01:55
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-03-21 01:55
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-21 01:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%2.7%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-03-21 01:55