La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luciano Darderi v Martin Landaluce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Predicción 58.70%1.70momio equitativo
EV +3.90%
Ventaja +2.20%
Kelly +5.06%
Crecimiento +0.197%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%59.72%59.31%71.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.581.581.77100.00%63.26%63.29%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Martin Landaluce (Visitante)
Predicción 41.30%2.42momio equitativo
EV +34.23%
Ventaja +10.53%
Kelly +15.21%
Crecimiento +5.21%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%40.28%40.69%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.002.352.233.25100.00%42.61%44.94%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -24.28%E -18.82%K -83.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +34.23%E +10.53%K +15.21%G +5.21% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.07%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.93%EV +30.51%E +9.66%K +14.13%G +4.31% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -20.76%E -15.38%K -59.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +28.03%E +9.04%K +13.35%G +3.74% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -20.17%E -14.83%K -56.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +23.90%E +7.97%K +11.95%G +2.86% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +15.64%E +5.59%K +8.69%G +1.36% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +13.58%E +4.94%K +7.76%G +1.05% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -16.06%E -11.23%K -37.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -17.23%E -12.22%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +11.51%E +4.26%K +6.77%G +0.780% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.25%E +1.30%K +2.17%G +0.071% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +1.19%E +0.485%K +0.819%G +0.010% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -13.13%E -8.87%K -27.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -0.878%E -0.366%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.70%E -0.716%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.67%E -4.19%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.82%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.77%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.84%E -5.00%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -10.79%E -5.00%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.97%E -1.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.20%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -1.39%E -0.825%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -12.44%E -5.87%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:50 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 01:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +2.14%E +1.23%K +2.89%G +0.062% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:47 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.962%E +0.559%K +1.34%G +0.013% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +2.72%E +1.56%K +3.63%G +0.099% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -13.68%E -6.55%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +1.55%E +0.895%K +2.12%G +0.033% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -15.33%E -7.48%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 01:44 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +3.90%E +2.20%K +5.06%G +0.197% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -0.212%E -0.125%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -17.40%E -8.70%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.30%E -41.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.70%E -58.70%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Novig | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |